Lenona
2021-01-14 19:31:50 UTC
It looks as though the US birth rate will drop even more this year.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/05/us-may-see-underpopulation-not-overpopulation-due-falling-birth-rate.html
There were jokes last spring about how staying at home would result in a baby boom, but at least one wag said quickly that if there WERE such a boom, it would consist entirely of first-born children. It WILL be interesting to see how that works out...someone needs to do a study of couples whose babies are due this spring or later. (How many really choose to have babies during a pandemic, unless their doctors tell them it's now or never?)
One thing bugs me. It says the global population is supposed to reach 9.7 billion people by 2064 - and then drop. That would mean it would take 43 years for it to increase by almost 2 billion. Given that it took just 12 years to go from 6 billion to 7 billion (and we'll likely reach 8 billion exactly 2 years from now), how likely is that? More likely, we'll reach TEN billion sometime in 2045. It'll be fun to see which algorithm wins - and how soon.
Lenona.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/05/us-may-see-underpopulation-not-overpopulation-due-falling-birth-rate.html
There were jokes last spring about how staying at home would result in a baby boom, but at least one wag said quickly that if there WERE such a boom, it would consist entirely of first-born children. It WILL be interesting to see how that works out...someone needs to do a study of couples whose babies are due this spring or later. (How many really choose to have babies during a pandemic, unless their doctors tell them it's now or never?)
One thing bugs me. It says the global population is supposed to reach 9.7 billion people by 2064 - and then drop. That would mean it would take 43 years for it to increase by almost 2 billion. Given that it took just 12 years to go from 6 billion to 7 billion (and we'll likely reach 8 billion exactly 2 years from now), how likely is that? More likely, we'll reach TEN billion sometime in 2045. It'll be fun to see which algorithm wins - and how soon.
Lenona.